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Iran Seeks to Break Cycle of Escalation

Former US State Department official Alan Eyre observed that both Iran and the US have taken an even more extreme stance than before the conflict escalated, hindering negotiations. This lack of progress stems from the vast gap between their positions and the ongoing war, which diverts the attention of potential negotiators away from diplomatic efforts.

Eyre pointed out that the US is pushing for a ceasefire due to the escalating economic repercussions of Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz. However, this leverage is Iran’s primary bargaining chip, as it prevents the US from forcing a ceasefire that would undermine its negotiating power.

According to Eyre, Iran’s goal is to avoid returning to the pre-conflict status quo, fearing that it would leave them vulnerable to future aggression from the US and Israel. To achieve this, Iran seeks a security arrangement that would prevent such conflicts and a means to rebuild its economy, which has been severely impacted by the war.

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