Despite the lack of specifics from Iran and the US, it remains unclear how the impending truce will impact southern Lebanon, a region where Hezbollah has been locked in intense combat with Israeli forces. The ambiguity surrounding Lebanon’s inclusion in the ceasefire has significant implications for Hezbollah, which is already facing mounting criticism from domestic opponents accusing the group of drawing Lebanon into conflict for the benefit of Iran. Hezbollah maintains its actions are a necessary defense of Lebanon against Israeli aggression, which has continued unabated for 15 months since the November 2024 ceasefire was breached. As negotiations for a lasting peace unfold, key issues are likely to include Iran’s support for Hezbollah and other regional entities, as well as the future of southern Lebanon, where Israel’s stated goal is to establish a “buffer zone” comprising Lebanese border towns.
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