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Lebanon’s Fate Hangs in the Balance as Iran Ponders Its Next Move

Observers are questioning Iran’s commitment to maintaining the ceasefire in Lebanon, despite ongoing Israeli airstrikes, with analyst Sultan Barakat suggesting that Tehran’s reluctance to call off the truce is a testament to its desire to protect the Lebanese people.

From a Lebanese viewpoint, Barakat notes that people will be scrutinizing Iran’s stance, wondering if it genuinely intends to safeguard their interests. He also believes that both Iran and the US require the pause to replenish their resources and regroup, making further negotiations a viable option, albeit with the risk of the US not engaging in good faith.

Barakat cautions that Iran must be cautious in its dealings with the US, particularly when it comes to regional mediation, as there are many questions that need to be answered before accepting any proposed agreement. He warns that if Iran loses Pakistan as a mediator and the GCC countries continue to distance themselves, it will be left with limited diplomatic options, potentially leading to a confrontation.

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