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Trump’s Iran Strategy Hinged on a Misguided Assumption of Speed

According to Charles Kupchan, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, Donald Trump’s Iran strategy was shaped by a tight-knit inner circle, largely comprised of individuals who had demonstrated unwavering loyalty. This, Kupchan suggests, created a culture where dissenting voices were stifled, with team members hesitant to challenge Trump’s decisions or offer alternative perspectives.

Kupchan believes that Trump initiated the war on Iran under the assumption that it would be a swift and decisive operation, with the Iranian government collapsing rapidly as citizens took to the streets in protest. However, this prediction proved to be grossly inaccurate.

The former White House national security advisor expressed skepticism regarding Trump’s access to a diverse range of opinions and information when making key decisions. Kupchan attributes this to Trump’s populist approach, which emphasizes his own instincts over expert advice. This mindset, Kupchan argues, was a defining aspect of Trump’s campaign and has ultimately led to significant repercussions.

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