A maritime data provider, Kpler, has observed that the temporary truce between the US and Iran might lead to a slight decrease in disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz over the next fortnight. However, the firm emphasizes that this development does not signal a swift return to pre-conflict shipping norms. According to Kpler, many vessel operators are adopting a cautious approach, hesitant to significantly increase their exposure to the region due to the persistence of sanctions, insurance limitations, and banking restrictions. If the ceasefire is maintained, Kpler anticipates that safe passage capacity will recover to a maximum of 10-15 vessels per day, contingent upon potential tolls and still far below the 100 daily passages seen during times of peace.
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