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Iran’s Negotiating Stance Rooted in Perceived Strength

Iran’s stance in the ongoing conflict is shaped by its assessment of its current situation and its perception of itself as a victor, having successfully repelled multiple attacks on its territory. Despite ongoing hostilities, the country remains intact, and its defenses remain unbroken. Iranian officials assert that their military arsenal is substantial and that they possess an advantageous position due to their ability to counter two of the world’s most powerful militaries. They are seeking a resolution that would prevent future aggression, which is why they are pushing for an end to the war, rather than a mere ceasefire. They fear that a ceasefire would merely provide an opportunity for their adversaries to regroup and launch another assault. Furthermore, Iran is demanding a revised framework for the Strait of Hormuz, one that would enable it to impose taxes on passing vessels, thereby compensating for the losses and destruction incurred during the conflict. Additionally, they are seeking the lifting of long-standing sanctions, which they believe were unjustly imposed. By presenting these conditions, Iran is signaling that it does not regard itself as defeated in the war, and that these terms are essential for its emergence from the conflict with its national integrity and sovereignty intact.

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