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Russia Advocates for a Lasting Peace in the Middle East

The Kremlin has issued a statement of support for a ceasefire, with Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov asserting that Russia’s goal is to establish a lasting peace in the Middle East through a delicate balance of regional interests.

Russian diplomatic circles are not unanimous in their views, however, with some voices cautioning that the conflict has never been resolvable through military means. They argue that a US-led military operation against Iran would ultimately be remembered as a strategic failure, rather than a triumph. Furthermore, the Iranian crisis has exposed vulnerabilities in the collective defense capabilities of NATO, the EU, and the UK, and it may be premature to speculate about the prospects of US-Iranian negotiations in Pakistan. Moreover, the conflict in the region remains far from over.

Meanwhile, a prevailing narrative, particularly abroad, suggests that Russia has capitalized economically on the US-Israeli conflict with Iran and the resulting disruptions to oil and fertilizer shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, given its status as a leading global oil and fertilizer exporter. Nonetheless, ongoing Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil infrastructure complicate this assessment, making it challenging to determine whether Russia has indeed benefited from the crisis.

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